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Yahoo!奇摩股市 - 台股盤勢
Yahoo!奇摩股市
永豐期貨台指選擇權盤後-金融領頭高價股回神 指數上沖下洗
Jul 9th 2013, 08:14

永豐期貨台指選擇權盤後-金融領頭高價股回神 指數上沖下洗
2013/07/09 16:14 鉅亨網 鉅亨台北資料中心

◆期貨走勢

台指期週二上漲94點收在7924 點。價差方面,四大期指皆為逆價差。台指期逆價差47.18 點,還原7 月合約待除約45點除權息點後台指期轉逆價差至2點。電子期逆價差1.82點,金融期逆價差9.90點,摩台期逆價差1.89點。

從期指大額交易人部位變化來分析,全月份十大交易人於期貨市場多單加碼3039 口,淨多單升至5505口,特定法人多單減碼1449口,淨多單降至2900口。三大法人於期貨市場多單加碼2014口,淨部位空單升至4488口,外資期貨多單減碼301口,淨多單降至664口,現貨部位再度轉為賣超近76 億,顯示對後勢看法轉趨中性。

期貨走勢方面,台指期週二平盤開出,宏達電續弱,大立光、TPK與金融類股跌深反彈,外資一日賣單六千口隔日瞬間反轉,讓投資人措手不及,前日甩轎力道極強。由技術面來看,指數再度站回月線之上。由籌碼來觀察三大法人一日空單回補轉為多單加碼操作之靈活並非常態。後市多方需留意是否有消息利多,操作上維持先前看法在10日與季線間來回操作為宜並請嚴設停損。

◆選擇權分析

選擇權從成交量來觀察,7 月份買權集中在8000 點,賣權集中在7700 點。未平倉量部份,買權未平倉量大量區仍在8000 點,而賣權大量區則在7800 點。全月份未平倉量put/call ratio 由1升至1.06,7 月買權平均隱含波動率由12.22%降至11.32%,賣權平均隱含波動率由14.4%降至13.81%,買賣權同步降,操作上建議仍於7800-8200 點建立買權多頭價差因應。

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